Analyst Michael Pachter has said Sony won't get the PS3 to surpass the Xbox 360 population within two years without "a price advantage".
The PS3 would need to be priced at "same level or below" their rival in order to "outsell them by a substantial amount," which Pachter doesn't see happening in '09. He expects a cut though.
"I expect a price cut, but not big enough to drive an incremental 2 - 3 million unit advantage," said the Wedbush Morgan's senior analyst.
"Without a price advantage, they will not pass Microsoft for at least two years," Pachter noted. "I think that means that they have to be priced at the same level or below the 360 to outsell them by a substantial amount, and I don’t see that happening this year."
He highly doubts the PS3 has a chance at usurping Xbox 360's lead over them this year, despite Sony's announcement of over 21.3 million units now sold worldwide.
"I don’t think so without a price cut," he told . "Microsoft has been doing a great job in keeping in front of people, and I don’t really see sales slowing down."
"That means Sony would have to outsell them by around 5 million, and they are only gaining in Japan at a 1 million annual rate, are selling more slowly than Microsoft in the US, and are gaining in Europe by probably 1 million annually."